Austin officials ask people to cancel New Year’s Eve plans as COVID positivity rate reaches shutdown levels
City of Austin officials are asking residents to cancel their New Year's Eve plans and stay inside unless absolutely necessary under the threat of hospitals reaching maximum capacity.
During a press conference on Tuesday, Austin-Travis County Interim Health Authority Dr. Mark Escott announced that Austin's positivity rate jumped up more than two points to 12.7% and the ICU is dangerously close, a little over halfway, to hitting capacity.
Once hospital ICU utilization hits capacity, it impacts the ability to take in patients that need emergency care for other reasons, like heart attacks or car wrecks, Escott said.
"Certainly the lesson learned from El Paso and Lubbock and Abilene and the other places that have faced a significant surge already, is that once you run out of ICU beds, you run out of ICU beds for everybody," Escott said. "That means that all these other people who need critical care will not have it because the hospitals are overwhelmed."
Simultaneously, Texas hospitals are seeing record hospitalization numbers. The state hit a high of 11,351 COVID-19-related hospitalizations on Monday, breaking the previous record of 10,893 in July.
With other major counties in Texas seeing similar surges, outside help might not be an option if the time comes. Escott said he expects ICUs to exceed capacity during the first week of January and the positivity rate to jump higher as cases resulting from holiday and new year celebrations.
"As the disease transmission increases in the community, it increases the likelihood that transmission will happen," Escott said. "Defenses become a lot more difficult when more people are capable of transmitting this disease so we need to limit that risk as much as possible."
Although a curfew has not yet been confirmed, Austin Public Health officials have already asked restaurants to abide by a 10:30 p.m. curfew and discussed implementing one for individuals, possibly by the end of this week.
"If we take individuals who are exposed during Christmas gatherings, and put them in boxes on New Year's Eve, and pack them together for hours, the projection is going to be overwhelming," Escott said. "It's gonna happen very, very quickly. I do not think we could afford to take that risk."
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Officials are asking certain residents in Bastrop State Park to evacuate as crews work to put out a “very active fire” that is currently 0% contained.
The Texas A&M Forest Service has responded to help local fire departments with the Rolling Pines Fire at 100 Park Road 1A, which is consuming 300 acres. Residents of Pine Hill Drive, Pine Tree Loop, Linda Lane and Lisa Lane are being asked to evacuate.
Today’s Bastrop Rolling Pines Fire is burning along Power Plant Road towards Lake Bastrop South Shore. pic.twitter.com/YCvJkIAg1u
— BastropCntyTexas OEM (@BastropCntyOEM) January 18, 2022
Aviation resources have been called to assist.
According to the Bastrop County Office of Emergency Management, the wildfire sparked during a prescribed burn that took place today, despite wildfire warnings. Park Road 1C from Harmon Road to Park Road 1A had been closed for the prescribed burn.
The blaze is in the same location as the Bastrop Complex Fire of 2011, which burned for 55 days, killing two people, destroying 34,000 acres and around 1,700 homes and buildings. The fire, which started in 2011, became the most destructive wildfire in Texas at the time.
A hotbed for fires, the Hidden Pines Fire started at the same location in 2015, destroying 4,600 acres and 64 structures.
Some road closures have been put in place at State Highway 21 South Shore Lake Bastrop and East State Highway 21.
This is a developing story and will be updated as information becomes available.
After months of record-setting periods for Austin real estate, the Austin Board of Realtors announced Tuesday that the metro's housing market accounted for over $23 billion of economic activity in 2021, making it the biggest year yet for both home sales and median home prices in the metro.
The Austin-Round Rock MSA saw 41,316 homes sold in 2021, 2.5% more than a record-setting 2020. Median home prices skyrocketed as well, rising 30.8% from 2020 to $450,000. The housing market also saw unprecedented impact on Austin's economy, with sales dollar volume jumping to over $23.38 billion, and more homes hit the market in 2021 than any previous year, increasing by 5.9% to 46,449 total homes listed.
(Austin Board of Realtors)
As many recent Austin homebuyers have experienced firsthand, Austin Board of Realtors 2022 President Cord Shiflet said 2021 was the most "exciting, complicated, fast-paced and record-setting housing market" in Austin's history.
Shiflet dubbed the market as "complicated" for a reason—Austin became a case study on supply and demand in 2021, with demand far outpacing the number of active listings, which dropped by 48.2% to 2,348 homes in 2021.
The metro ended the year with 0.6 months of inventory, a far cry from a "healthy" six-month supply, and houses were snatched at breakneck speeds, spending 25 fewer days on the market when compared to 2020. The average home was on the market for 20 days.
But low inventory is more due to high demand than a stagnant homebuilding market, Mark Sprague, Independence Title's state director of information capital, said in the report.
“In 2021, the record number of homes sold were demand-driven transactions and that demand was influenced greatly by companies continuing to target the region for job creation and expansion," Sprague said. "Even though more homes are being built, listed and sold than ever before, our region is still nowhere close to having a comfortable amount of supply to meet the demand, which is why home prices continue to rise steadily.”
Over 23,000 jobs have been promised by companies across the metro as of December 2021, breaking the 2020 record, according to Opportunity Austin, the economic development arm of the Greater Austin Chamber of Commerce. With an influx of major factories and offices, including Tesla's Giga Texas, Samsung's Taylor plant and a planned 33-floor Facebook office, Sprague said the region's booming market paired with a struggling inventory and supply chain issues could be a double-edged sword in 2022.
"In short, 2022 will see a robust market for home sales and property values, but the region must do more to address inventory, ” Sprague said.
Shiflet recommended that potential homebuyers make a decision ahead of predicted increases in interest rates and home prices and said that he hopes local politicians will continue to prioritize affordable housing in the election year.
Still, Shiflet said a record-breaking housing market reflects Austin's growing reputation as a hub for talent, tech jobs and a good quality of life.
"With all the new jobs across the region from exciting companies like Tesla and Samsung, Austin was put on the world’s stage and captured the hearts and attention of so many," Shiflet said. "We are lucky to call Austin our home when it has so much to offer from a great quality of life to a wonderful destination for innovation and opportunity.”
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