After six weeks of oscillations, the local trend line in new COVID hospitalizations seems to be pointing more decisively upward.
Both the number of daily COVID-related hospital admissions and the number of hospital beds used by COVID patients across the Austin metro have increased in the past week, Austin-Travis County Interim Health Authority Dr. Mark Escott said Tuesday. Additionally, the number of ICU beds and ventilators currently in use by COVID patients increased over the same time period.
"All four of those (metrics) indicate that we may be moving upward in terms of the disease in Travis County and the surrounding jurisdictions," Escott said.
(Austin Public Health)
The number of area residents 70 years of age or older who have been hospitalized with COVID has also increased sharply—by 68%—in the last week, according to Austin Public Health data.
Escott attributed this jump to increasing disease spread among teenagers and younger adults and loosening adherence to precautionary actions.
"If individuals are going to visit their parents or grandparents or other loved ones … they should be using great caution in the 14 days before that visit," he said.
Recent projections by the COVID-19 Modeling Consortium at the University of Texas at Austin has also raised concerns.
Currently, researchers estimate that there is a 66% chance that the pandemic will worsen over the next month and that the seven-day moving average number of daily COVID-related hospital admissions could double—from the current rate of 14 to 28—by Nov. 1.
"When we look at the current projections from the University of Texas modelers, it's a bit concerning looking forward to November," Escott said.
"Last year, with our bad flu season, we maxed out our ICU capacity," Escott said. "We cannot have that happen this year. We cannot tolerate a twindemic of COVID-19 and influenza."
Given these risk factors, Escott recommended that local bars remain closed, even though Texas Gov. Greg Abbott granted county judges the authority to reopen them, with conditions, starting Wednesday. Travis County Judge Sam Biscoe announced that he would heed Escott's advice and reevaluate the situation in two weeks.
"I cannot in good conscience allow bars to reopen at 50% capacity at this time," Biscoe said in a statement issued on Wednesday. "The risk to our public health is too great, especially now that students of all ages have returned to the classroom."
Despite these developments, Escott expressed hope that Travis County residents could flatten the curve before it gets worse by recommitting to masking, social distancing, hand-washing and limiting gatherings.
"The second surge comes when we as a community get tired of those protective actions," he said.
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So you want to buy a house?
To anyone trying to get on the "housing ladder," it's been a discouraging couple of years as prices skyrocketed in a market crowded with buyers bidding against each other for just about any available home.
Things may be calming down, with the Austin Board of REALTORS reporting fewer sales and more available homes this summer.
Mortgage rates have more than doubled in the last year, from around 3% to well over 6% on a 30-year fixed rate loan, getting even more of a bump this week after the Federal Reserve raised bank rates on Wednesday.
So how affordable are homes right now? That, of course, depends on what you want and how much you're able or willing to pay, but here are some rough estimates of what a typical buyer would pay to buy a $650,000 home, which would be considered "mid-price" in today's market.
Mortgage banker Chris Holland (NMLS 211033) of Austin's Sente Mortgage ran some numbers for Austonia to illustrate a typical purchase.
Holland says that while the 30-year fixed rate mortgage is often mentioned in the media, the most popular loan that he's seeing now is a 7/1 adjustable rate mortgage, which has a fixed rate for 7 years and then adjusts every year based on market rates, with a limit on how much it can increase each year. The interest is amortized over a 30-year period. Adjustable Rate Mortgages (ARMs) offer lower rates than fixed rate loans.
Here are the numbers, which are examples. In practice, exact numbers vary with a buyer's credit rating and overall financial situation, and with the rate, which can move up or down at any time.
- $650,000 home purchase price
- 7/1 ARM at 5.875%
- 5% down payment, equals $32,500
- 95% financed, equals $617,500
- $4,990 payment, including principle and interest (P&I), insurance, and property tax
- Typically, a borrower's debt to income ratio needs to be at or below 45%. So for this mortgage, a borrower, or borrowers, would need income of roughly $11,100/month, or $133,200/year. That number could be higher, depending on the buyer's outstanding credit balances on things like credit cards and car loans.
Holland says he's had a lot of clients approved for loans who were house hunting but have put that on hold, hoping prices come down.
Camp Fimfo Waco, a brand new camping resort, is kicking off football and fall camping season in style! With top-notch amenities, premium accommodations, and 10 weekends of fall fun, there’s no better place to have a fall camping getaway, especially if you’re a Baylor football fan!
Fall promises to be a one-of-a-kind camping experience. From Sept. 16 to Nov. 24, weekends will be packed with fall-themed activities, including special Halloween weekends in October. Campers can enjoy activities like fall crafts, campground trick-or-treating, costume contests, site decorating, outdoor movie nights, and more!
Packages and Ways to Stay
Camp Fimfo Waco
Located just 5 miles from McLane Stadium, Camp Fimfo Waco is the perfect place to stay during home game weekends. Skip the stuffy hotel room and embrace the great outdoors before cheering on the Baylor Bears! Campers can purchase a Baylor Tailgating Package that includes a pre-game meal from Executive Chef Sean Kelley and transportation to and from the game! Chef Kelley will also be cooking up delicious, elevated tailgating meals near the stadium so make sure to check out The Plaid Plate food truck before the game.
Stay in style and comfort, no matter your camping preference! At Camp Fimfo Waco, there are multiple ways to stay. Red Carpet RV sites come with a concrete pad and patio, full hook-ups, cable hook-up, a charcoal grill, fire ring and fire pit. Back-in or pull-thru options are available, as well as coveted spots tucked along the Bosque River!
Don’t have an RV? Not a problem, Camp Fimfo Waco has cabins too! Book a Riverview Firewheel Cabin if you’re looking for an air-conditioned oasis for the whole family. Complete with a kitchen and private bathroom, this cabin can fit up to 10 people. Elevate your stay by adding on a golf cart or snag a private cabana by the pool for guaranteed shade. With wifi available throughout the park, you can stay connected during your stay!
Amenities and Activities
Camp Fimfo Waco
Camp Fimfo Waco features lots of amenities to fill your days with fun, whether you’re a kid or kid at heart. After challenging your friends to a game of pickleball, basketball, or mini golf, go for a dip in the resort-style, heated pool - open daily through October! Stay on the weekends through October to enjoy the interactive splash playground. With plenty of ways to burn off energy, like the jumping pillow or playground, you can be sure to end the day with a peaceful night around the campfire!
Right now, you can get the fourth night FREE when you book three nights with the promo code BONUS! Check out the Offers page for full details and more promo codes!